Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 8.030936 8.900295 9.847901 10.961468 12.239262 13.665578 15.386391
2025-12-07 6.587919 7.683604 8.958686 10.565426 12.554814 14.961980 18.133282
2025-12-14 5.651725 6.811178 8.219019 10.077365 12.500811 15.603841 19.960701
2025-12-21 5.079499 6.284765 7.799485 9.876963 12.706924 16.510697 22.159129
2025-12-28 5.049481 6.421384 8.209044 10.763265 14.411643 19.586901 27.777438
2026-01-04 4.790783 6.223270 8.143340 10.977158 15.182599 21.418014 31.829731
2026-01-11 4.418076 5.834501 7.775336 10.714072 15.210638 22.121899 34.186462
2026-01-18 4.254056 5.717943 7.771967 10.969974 16.030997 24.129264 39.000643
2026-01-25 3.984600 5.429598 7.494965 10.781986 16.125488 24.958417 41.869847
2026-02-01 3.758137 5.186697 7.264184 10.639637 16.269117 25.871322 45.023197
2026-02-08 3.546968 4.951879 7.027230 10.463552 16.331348 26.637241 48.005128
2026-02-15 3.337868 4.707143 6.757902 10.210818 16.232508 27.091831 50.421313
2026-02-22 3.182292 4.540785 6.608464 10.159266 16.508864 28.329333 54.850314
2026-03-01 2.971165 4.277477 6.290279 9.799530 16.197620 28.407922 56.763789
2026-03-08 2.760711 4.003878 5.938964 9.355533 15.686783 28.026334 57.541488
2026-03-15 2.621053 3.834572 5.746418 9.173074 15.648184 28.593632 60.700680
2026-03-22 2.683813 3.990618 6.096418 9.979349 17.595183 33.590858 76.210663
2026-03-29 2.627129 3.948655 6.110485 10.173676 18.348107 36.113653 85.919041
2026-04-05 2.498826 3.781923 5.901370 9.934643 18.184875 36.524889 89.729942
2026-04-12 2.458305 3.759252 5.939642 10.167150 19.035647 39.445584 101.903327
2026-04-19 2.355348 3.626103 5.776179 9.996362 18.998523 40.202275 107.491847
2026-04-26 2.265411 3.511103 5.638849 9.866987 19.039653 41.162421 114.060930
2026-05-03 2.176379 3.393796 5.491338 9.706890 18.996000 41.899235 120.103008